Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.484013 0.552615 0.626454 0.711717 0.807326 0.911100 1.032131
2025-06-08 0.367537 0.458740 0.564804 0.696748 0.855930 1.041189 1.272502
2025-06-15 0.296336 0.401620 0.533050 0.707915 0.933046 1.211565 1.580431
2025-06-22 0.234442 0.343695 0.489526 0.696104 0.978443 1.347651 1.863177
2025-06-29 0.193702 0.305510 0.464270 0.702386 1.045816 1.517619 2.207788
2025-07-06 0.155889 0.263949 0.426790 0.684669 1.075895 1.638585 2.497770
2025-07-13 0.136227 0.245862 0.420090 0.709570 1.168577 1.855482 2.943650
2025-07-20 0.120590 0.231126 0.415733 0.736394 1.265869 2.087341 3.432623
2025-07-27 0.104714 0.212866 0.402424 0.746084 1.335908 2.282811 3.882692
2025-08-03 0.090277 0.194373 0.385567 0.746746 1.389904 2.456322 4.311777
2025-08-10 0.077853 0.177275 0.368341 0.743800 1.436232 2.619905 4.736866
2025-08-17 0.067829 0.163013 0.354039 0.743746 1.486584 2.793190 5.190665
2025-08-24 0.059647 0.151277 0.343242 0.749554 1.549404 2.995760 5.716053
2025-08-31 0.051389 0.137722 0.326668 0.741730 1.585602 3.154168 6.177371
2025-09-07 0.046366 0.130670 0.322629 0.758638 1.671018 3.408892 6.831583
2025-09-14 0.040085 0.119213 0.307125 0.749256 1.702801 3.565913 7.318370
2025-09-21 0.035881 0.112162 0.300465 0.758014 1.772220 3.799910 7.966849
2025-09-28 0.030705 0.101328 0.283103 0.740302 1.783733 3.921230 8.408020
2025-10-05 0.028592 0.098651 0.285235 0.767850 1.895495 4.251019 9.279964
2025-10-12 0.026750 0.096372 0.288010 0.797198 2.013954 4.603216 10.220649
2025-10-19 0.024269 0.091577 0.283450 0.807955 2.091258 4.875677 11.018513
2025-10-26 0.021689 0.085843 0.275423 0.808888 2.145736 5.103742 11.740363
2025-11-02 0.019280 0.080082 0.266352 0.805861 2.190334 5.313554 12.437881